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Publications

August 2009

2009 Hurricane Forecast Review
Review of Atlantic Basin seasonal hurricane forecast accuracy

May 2009

Age to Age Factor Selection under Changing Development
Statistical methods for selecting development factors in a dynamic environment

Minimizing Uncertainty in Property Casualty Loss Reserve Estimates
Guidance for deciding between alternative loss development methods

Tail Factors
A stable method for determining tail factors using age to age development factors

August 2007

2007 Hurricane Forecast Review
Review of Atlantic Basin seasonal hurricane forecast accuracy from 1999 through 2006

October 2006

2006 US Property Casualty Insurance Profit Cycle Review
Independent review of U.S. Property Casualty Insurance profit cycles and reserve adequacy through 2005