Publications
August 2009
2009 Hurricane Forecast Review
Review of Atlantic Basin seasonal hurricane forecast accuracy
May 2009
Age to Age Factor Selection under Changing Development
Statistical methods for selecting development factors in a dynamic environment
Minimizing Uncertainty in Property Casualty Loss Reserve Estimates
Guidance for deciding between alternative loss development methods
Tail Factors
A stable method for determining tail factors using age to age development factors
August 2007
2007 Hurricane Forecast Review
Review of Atlantic Basin seasonal hurricane forecast accuracy from 1999 through 2006
October 2006
2006 US Property Casualty Insurance Profit Cycle Review
Independent review of U.S. Property Casualty Insurance profit cycles and reserve adequacy through 2005
Independent review of U.S. Property Casualty Insurance profit cycles and reserve adequacy through 2005